The later bid has to do more than rise
You have grain you could sell today, but you also have room to hold it. A higher price in a few months sounds attractive. The question is how much of that price gain will still be there after storage charges, fewer saleable units and the extra money spent while you wait.
This page puts both choices on one ledger. It uses your current cash price for a sell-now amount, then your assumed future cash price for a stored amount. The large result shows which side is ahead under those assumptions. It is a comparison of this marketing decision, not a forecast or a whole-farm profit figure.
How to use the calculator
Start with the lot you could sell today
Choose a market unit and currency. Enter the paid grain quantity and your current local cash price per that unit. For bushels, use standard-weight market bushels from a ticket, not a bin-volume estimate.
Test a later sale
Enter the later cash price you want to test, your storage period and the fee per starting unit per month. Keep both prices for the same grain and unit. Enter zero for the monthly fee only when no additional monthly charge applies.
Add what waiting changes
Open Other costs and quantity loss if you expect extra shrink, drying, handling, an upfront charge or a cost for tying up money. Then choose Compare the choices. Read the net difference first, and use the break-even later price to see how much room your price assumption has.
A price rise can leave only a small gain
Suppose you have 1,000 standard-weight bushels that could sell for USD 4.20 each today. That is USD 4,200. You expect USD 4.80 in six months, a rise of 60 cents per bushel. It looks like a USD 600 gain if all 1,000 bushels remain and storage is free. Neither assumption fits this example.
Assume 2% fewer paid units after storage, so the later sale has 980 bu. At USD 4.80, gross proceeds are USD 4,704. Six months at USD 0.04 per starting bushel per month costs USD 240. Add USD 80 of drying and USD 40 of handling. At a 6% annual simple carrying rate, waiting six months on USD 4,200 costs another USD 126. Total added cash cost is USD 486; USD 4,704 − USD 486 = USD 4,218. Storage is ahead by only USD 18.
Find the price that changes the decision
For that same 1,000 bu lot, the later price has to reach about USD 4.7816 per remaining bushel to match selling now. The hoped-for USD 4.80 is only about 1.84 cents above it. Here is how quickly the choice changes:
At USD 4.60, the stored lot nets USD 4,022. The displayed threshold is rounded, so treat it as a planning guide rather than a cent-perfect offer. Even a small extra fee or quantity loss can move it.
Sell-now proceeds = starting units × current price
Later units = starting units × (1 − additional loss %)
Storage charge = starting units × monthly fee × months
Carrying cost = sell-now proceeds × annual rate × months ÷ 12
Store net = later units × later price − all added cash costs
Break-even later price = (sell-now proceeds + all added cash costs) ÷ later units
The calculator keeps full precision and rounds money on screen to cents. The break-even price shows up to four decimal places because a fraction of a cent per unit can matter across a large lot.
Keep the two quotes on the same footing
A price per bushel cannot be used with a quantity in kilograms. The selector keeps every quantity, price and monthly fee in one market unit. Changing it clears those entries so you can type a matching quote. Currency changes the label only; it never converts an amount between currencies.
A bin bushel is not always a paid bushel
Bin volume is a space estimate. A market bushel is a crop-specific standard weight. Use the quantity a buyer would pay for now, and use the same market unit for both prices. If the grain will be dried further, the Grain Moisture Shrink Calculator can help estimate the weight change before you enter an additional loss percentage here.
Use comparable local cash bids. A futures quote alone is not the cash price at your delivery point. Grades, moisture schedules, location and transport terms can change what the buyer actually pays. The later price is your scenario, not a number this calculator predicts.
What goes into the extra-cost boxes?
Think only about costs that change because you store this lot. If a cost is the same whether you sell now or later, it cancels from this comparison. The monthly fee is charged on the starting quantity for the whole entered period. A commercial schedule with an upfront minimum or a different later rate needs its actual total worked out; put any amount beyond the recurring charge in Other added storage cost.
- Additional quantity loss: fewer saleable units from extra drying, handling or storage. This already lowers later gross proceeds; do not enter its cash value a second time.
- Drying and handling: added cash outlays for preparing and moving the stored grain. A drying fee and drying weight loss are different things.
- Other added cost: a genuine storage-only fee such as additional insurance or a quoted upfront charge.
- Annual carrying rate: the value of receiving the sell-now money sooner, estimated with simple interest. Use the relevant borrowing or opportunity rate, and do not count the same financing expense twice.
There are no built-in shrink, fee or interest defaults beyond zero. That makes the scenario editable, but a result with zeros may be optimistic. Check the actual facility terms and grain condition before acting.
Try a no-fee comparison, then add reality
Take 500 metric tonnes at 200 per tonne now. If a later cash bid is 210, with no extra fee, loss or carrying cost, the two sale amounts are 100,000 and 105,000 in the selected currency. Storage is ahead by 5,000 and the break-even future price is 200 per tonne. This is a useful arithmetic check, but it is rarely a complete storage plan.
Now enter your own monthly fee and any drying or handling costs. The break-even price climbs. If units are lost, the remaining tonnes must earn more per tonne to cover the same sell-now amount. That is why the break-even card can be more useful than the projected win: it shows the price the later market must actually clear.
Before deciding to hold the grain
A positive comparison answers a narrow question: under these prices, units and costs, which option leaves more money? It does not tell you whether the expected later bid will appear, whether the grain can be stored safely that long, or how a buyer will grade it.
Moisture, pests, spoilage and quality discounts can make the actual later quantity or price worse than the scenario.
A small projected gain may not justify postponing income needed for debt, inputs or operations.
Use the result as a planning threshold. Update the later cash price and costs as real quotes change. The Crop Revenue Calculator handles gross sales across grades and harvests; the Farm Profit Calculator looks at broader farm income and expenses.
Frequently asked questions
What quantity should I enter?
Can I use a futures price for the later sale?
How do I enter a storage fee with an upfront charge?
Is shrink an expense as well as a weight loss?
Should I enter drying cost if I also enter shrink?
What does the annual carrying rate mean?
Does a positive result guarantee storage will pay?
What is the break-even future price?
Are the results farm profit?
Related farm tools
- Grain Moisture Shrink Calculator estimates the quantity left after drying and a separate handling allowance.
- Crop Revenue Calculator adds gross sales across multiple harvests and grades.
- Farm Profit Calculator places revenue against farm costs beyond this storage decision.